Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.212042 5.011208 5.899801 6.958085 8.180969 9.546399 11.183035
2025-09-21 3.046763 4.069307 5.322571 6.959232 9.026305 11.535141 14.793719
2025-09-28 2.323102 3.420487 4.878912 6.931792 9.714777 13.319734 18.299164
2025-10-05 1.983158 3.167589 4.850479 7.367807 10.978512 15.900657 23.030833
2025-10-12 1.677027 2.884714 4.707155 7.584418 11.920262 18.097340 27.416410
2025-10-19 1.465516 2.695181 4.653347 7.895551 12.995861 20.542993 32.330067
2025-10-26 1.237846 2.430666 4.432059 7.900640 13.584040 22.298899 36.355357
2025-11-02 1.009287 2.117254 4.075916 7.626949 13.681625 23.290993 39.276451
2025-11-09 0.828277 1.853013 3.758130 7.363784 13.746725 24.208325 42.117173
2025-11-16 0.716966 1.700565 3.614082 7.377029 14.262704 25.870440 46.241934
2025-11-23 0.624455 1.567663 3.484552 7.394331 14.776078 27.552856 50.501894
2025-11-30 0.537951 1.429835 3.323136 7.326608 15.120363 28.960705 54.383031
2025-12-07 0.438575 1.243658 3.038466 6.989031 14.943933 29.472423 56.816523
2025-12-14 0.379460 1.140733 2.913804 6.957563 15.344854 31.041762 61.213943
2025-12-21 0.328759 1.047350 2.794737 6.920375 15.726243 32.597920 65.687882
2025-12-28 0.314005 1.046518 2.888015 7.352660 17.091907 36.085751 73.906242
2026-01-04 0.287753 1.007770 2.884742 7.567923 18.026043 38.812619 80.876179
2026-01-11 0.269051 0.986792 2.921661 7.878160 19.185600 42.050519 88.999298
2026-01-18 0.237963 0.920706 2.833569 7.883150 19.685171 44.017794 94.804659
2026-01-25 0.199651 0.821299 2.640988 7.609970 19.542264 44.679963 98.106140
2026-02-01 0.167546 0.733177 2.462948 7.347317 19.392455 45.307978 101.365192
2026-02-08 0.149002 0.687485 2.396556 7.360534 19.877146 47.282780 107.433221
2026-02-15 0.132802 0.645840 2.334858 7.377800 20.371197 49.306626 113.712344